CIA-Backed Think Tank Confirms Pakistani Counter Air Success

A recent US-based study has validated Pakistan’s claims regarding Indian air losses during the May 7-10 conflict. The report confirms that India likely lost several aircraft to Pakistani counter air operations on the first day of hostilities. While India has neither confirmed nor denied the losses, the findings add credibility to Pakistan’s position.

Mubashir Zaidi, a prominent journalist, shared details of the report on social media, reinforcing the claim. According to the study, India suffered its most meaningful military setback during these initial exchanges. Indian aircraft reportedly failed to breach Pakistani airspace due to a strong defensive response.

Though India remained silent officially, the lack of denial further fuels speculation. Observers believe New Delhi’s muted response is a strategic move to contain political fallout and public panic.

Escalation without Airspace Breach

Despite high tensions, both sides avoided crossing into each other’s airspace with manned aircraft. This restraint reveals how seriously both nations regard each other’s air defense capabilities. The conflict, however, witnessed intense standoff strikes and drone warfare.

India used the BrahMos and SCALP-EG cruise missiles for the first time. Pakistan responded with the Fatah-I and Fatah-II ballistic missiles. Both sides deployed drones for offensive operations. Yet, it was the Pakistani counter air response on May 7 that changed the dynamic early in the conflict.

According to the US study, Pakistan’s success in neutralizing multiple Indian aircraft created a tactical pause in India’s strategy. It forced Indian planners to rely more on long-range precision strikes than air incursions in the following days.

Strategic Implications Ahead

This four-day conflict, now termed the most serious military crisis between the nuclear rivals in decades, sets a precedent. The use of advanced missile and drone systems reveals a shift in warfare strategy. Moreover, the Pakistani counter air success has already started shaping regional military doctrine.

Both India and Pakistan are expected to reassess their defense acquisitions. The setback will likely prompt India to invest more in stealth aircraft and missile defense. Pakistan, on the other hand, will likely strengthen its early warning and interception capabilities.

The crisis also highlighted the crucial role of the United States in defusing tensions. American diplomacy helped prevent further escalation, especially during the final hours.

According to defense experts, the May conflict has reshaped military thinking in South Asia. The confirmed Indian air losses highlight the growing effectiveness of Pakistan’s counter air operations, which played a pivotal role in the short yet intense war. As both nations brace for future crises, Pakistan’s counter air operations are expected to significantly influence regional stability and shape future military strategies.